Knowledge Innovation

Unbound Spiral: Supernova: Introduction

December 9, 2002 08:27 AM

Looking round the room, where's the youth, majority ageing males. Are these the ones that are creating a decentralized future? See at least one guy with a web cam in the audience. Haven't seen any tablet PC's here yet. Couple of Trios visible. No Cyborgs -- disappointed! My guess is 60% are connected wirelessly to the network.. Must be at least 10 blogging this event. In the crowd here I recognize many from the P2P conference nearly two years ago. Sense of promise seats for approximately 100. Room is full with a general buzz.

As Kevin warms up to the audience, his conviction in the decentralized future is obvious. It is an ambitious undertaking to start a new Tech conference in Silicon Valley these days. His reasoned commitment is to the developments taking place around decentralization, WIFI, weblogs, web services, changing architectures, --- still a lot happening that is not yet realized. Notes "decentralization" is an ugly word, --- not a hype concept -- for scenarist it just one of the driving forces for the next decade. There are not many centralists in the room I think.

Notes from Kevin's Introduction:

Decentralization is a fundamental issue for the next decade. Not new, eg PC was decentralizing in itself, but in this environment it takes on an even more important role. Business and social aspects. If you base your business model on central control, then decentralization is a threat. However, embracing it opens new opportunities…

1. Only way to scale. Why so important. Trying to manage at the center becomes impossible. Internet --- take it up a level. Take it beyond.

2 People. As people have these tools, want to collaborate, use to communicate across different boundaries, must have a decentralized approach. More decentralized approaches.

3 connected computing is becoming a commodity, Incredible pervasive networks.

Reflecting on the value chains. There is a ongoing tension between structured centralized and unstructured decentralized. I suspect that in the end we need both -- and a pragmatic view.

Increasing complexity. So how do we get there from here? What must we deal with?
Ø Reliability, security, manageability
Ø Reinventing value chains - business models and ways for people to add value.
Ø Balance openness and control

These may be different. The most decentarlzied approach doesn’t always win. Decentralization won’t always triumph but how far must we go?