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July 2003 Archives

July 3, 2003

More Forums & Blogs

I feel there's a ready interest in making blogs more conversational.  So I find it particularly frustrating when contributing to different forums and then finding myself exhausted and too tired to sum it up for my blog.  At that point I feel like I'm suffering all this information is being posted to separate places - different communities and my retrieval is difficult. 

Mark Carey created an interesting slant on his new blog Web Dawn which contains more than one posting on Blogs vs Forums.  He created a forum view after a threaded discussion.  I quickly experimented with it here.  After reading it and flicking around I've found my self rereading my "Conversational Blogging" Category. The comments from Abe, Marc, Roger and more  on Mark's post here are insightful.

I believe that blogs are not forums and forums should not be blogs, however clearly connecting them up creates additional value. Blogs from time to time do take on the attribute of forums.  There are an interesting set of posting at the Knowledge Board and Dave Pollard recently posted his thoughts on the Communications and Media Forms.  What I like about Dave's post is in this thought:

"I see the weblog becoming a ubiquitous communication medium, a proxy for every individual, where everything you want to know about that individual (which they have given you permission to see) can be called up. The effect of that will be to eliminate many communications whose purpose is simply to get information. The blog will be the main vehicle by which we educate, inform and explain"...

This is another good slant on blogging lifestreams and I agree that integrated voice - video chat is a killer app.  What I think I'm missing in these descriptions is how inbound communications will be handled.  Will blogs also become RSS / newsreader feed centric?  If so I need to be getting updates on the comments that are placed on the blogs I read.  Good posts that I'm interested in in my newsreader should also enable me to track comments and trackbacks to them.  At the moment I don't know how to get this easily....

Then finally as a note to Mark Carey's comments:  MT has a plug-in that can be adapted to work with simple comments called Collate.  However, I've not worked how to provide separate labels for trackbacks and comments yet.  I have experimented with it as part of a personal dashboard.

July 6, 2003

Controlling Digital Bits

Are two links to new businesses (BitPass and Vanquish) early indicators that Internet economis are close to a tipping point?  They provide an interesting contrast both targeted at enabling and controlling digital access.  Will they be successful? If only the RIAA would think.... I might pay a cent a song to listen.  I might even sell back my attention to enable some ads, if the stream was customized. 

BitPass via Chirstopher Allen's new blog. Life with Alacrity is trying to solve the micropayment problem.  What is BitPass?  It's like a prepaid phone card for the web.  The real secret will be getting Earners to sign up and test the business model at different price points.  It may not be comics that makes this a great business.  I did like their interface, and no I can't sign up yet for an earners account.

Then via Forbes.com: Pay Up! "Hoping to stop the evil epidemic of spam, Philip Raymond is putting a price on it. The 46-year-old software executive has a provisional patent on a service called Vanquish, which requires e-mail senders to post a cash bond of 5 cents into a bank account for every piece of e-mail they send. If a recipient judges the mail to be illegitimate, the sender loses the nickel, with four pennies going to the recipient's Internet service provider and one penny going to Vanquish as a processing fee.

So if the receiver accepts the message the sender is then "okay" from then on.  However, the sender won't post the bond... then the mail won't go through.  Vanquish has been at this for sometime.  Their marketing and site navigation fails to communicate what Forbes does --- so I'm still unsure if they have it cracked or when it might be available. 

So now..... As an Earner with BitPass "During the earner sign-up process, we provide you with gateway software (a single file in most cases) that you install on your web server. This software acts like a ticket checker at a movie theater, allowing only those with valid tickets to enter premium areas of your web site."

Could Premium be my mail server?  After a spender clicks on a BitPass-enabled hyperlink and then authorizes payment, we issue a ticket to the spender's browser, which then presents the ticket to the ticket checker on your server for validation and access.

My interest traces to a number of blogpostings I've made around Digital Post.  For my two cents, the Vanquish model if it works is only a stepping stone to something much more elegant.  It will never enable consumers to aggregate and trade their data.  However, both ISP's and consumers have an interest in stopping spam.  For that alone it may just work if ISP's start marketing it.  On the other hand BitPass clearly understands we do have something to sell.  Maybe Ryze will let me put a BitPass fee on a revised commercial profile and sell it to all those car direct marketers that have my name. 

 

 

July 8, 2003

Team Blogging

From the New York Times another article on blogging (signs of improvement?) on Blogs in the Workplace.  The real impact will be on creating smarter teams. Some snips:

"People are going to the blogs every day as a source for news," Mr. Jarvis said. But, he added, "I am disappointed in the tool," because the hoped-for exchange of ideas among departments has not spontaneously developed. "You need specific goals," Mr. Jarvis said. Typically, though, such experiments are not expensive to mount. 

Indeed it is not the tools it is how you learn to use them. Establishing the correct learning agenda and context is key.  I remember bringing in Laptops to the salesforce many years ago.  Each one at the time was worth 20% of the salespersons annual salary (very high tax country) and the economic justification was hard.  From my perspective the real payout came in intangibles.  My salesforce learning new tools, image - leading the pack, new interest in presenting data and crunching numbers, and answering my queries at night.  Was still hard to put a value on P-Spend savings or better shelf management and thus share gains.  Still in those days they learnt to use the tools on their time, and longer hours began. Now too many of them are slaves to the system.   

So this time the upgrade expense is not in the equipment and software, the expense will be in finding the right individuals to help facilitate the change. Like Mr. Tang below.... people want to work smarter not longer.  He gets it!

When I want to know something I check the Web log," Mr. Tang said. "It saves me the trouble of e-mailing people or yelling across the room to get a status update." 

Mr Tang is in an IM centric company, hardly typical yet apparently using blogs to get control of his time. 

Corporate Blogging is only just the beginning, the companies that understand the power of a "continuous team briefing process" and enable the grass roots to fuel the exchange will be the organizations that begin learning faster.  It's time to RSSify your org.  The result will be moving work off e-mails and back into community work. My bet is intelligent solutions will quickly emerge just as other examples in the article are showing. 

Of note these new tools are being brought in from the fringe. What makes this really exciting is the potential to create entirely new operating systems.  We already know the hardware is a commodity and the software is cheap or open source.  Corporate Blogging is just the edge of a revolution that will harness the collective intelligence of organizations in new ways. It's time to start thinking about the right people to have on board. 

Hmmm.... check you buddy list.....start your web cam, will your next employee be a blogger?  How long must they have blogged to be considered?  That reminds me of another post I never made on S-Blogs... search-blogs.  Blogs set up by individuals in the job search process.  Perhaps it is time to pull that one out too. 

 

July 10, 2003

Comments Debate

The Venomites are speaking up.  Electric Venom:Blogs Without Comments "And so the debate continues whether a blog needs comments or it's just a website, or whether TrackBack is sufficient."

My recent EV comment: So comments are like sowing seeds... May the Venomites rise up and be heard... front page. Way to go! Makes tripping rather than RSS reading much more fun. Alway enjoy my visits.

So really--- are comments just part of an intimacy gradient? Are trackbacks... just new fences? Territorial boundaries? Perhaps we take it all too seriously. Set fire to the fields or quench the flames.

Comments and trackbacks are important to me.  I don't mind admitting that I don't like blogs that don't have comments. It does tell me something about the who or them behind it.  But here's a request.  At least it may work for the MT crowd that makes all the trackback noise anyways. 

Enable other MT blogs so that when I leave a comment on their blog... it is automatically e-mailed to my blog when I check the right comment box and thus posted (title comment on VK's xxx entry) and saved in a category "comments on other blogs" with sub-categories by blog.  Then I can go commenting and feel I'm adding broader value at the same time.  It would generate more thoughtful comments, and enable me to share both more personally and broadly at the same time. It would also keep a record for me of comments I've made on other blogs.  Something sadly lacking today. 

While we should be happy to give away -- our comments --- those with failing memories might like a record.  Makes it easier to find later. It also makes it easier to make later referrals.  "Ah we connected on that!" See... 

Plus hitting a trackback right now will make it even easier to see how Kate's blog is working! 

July 16, 2003

NewsGator

 Iím posting this entry from NewsGator my new newsreader.  For the most part Iíve used the newsreader that came with my Radio Blog and I used it as a general clipping service.  However it was slow and failed to provide a simple quick way to post to MT.  Similarly I tried Ampheta Desk.  That too had an ugly interface and didnít eliminate cutín paste..  I also checkout out NewzCrawler which failed (as far as I could see to offer a simple way to import my subscriptions file.  With 100+ Iím not going to type them in again.  Then there is FeedReader (looks too basic) , netnewswire (Apple Mac only), NewsMonster (requires Netscape Ė why should I change?).  There is a great list of RSS readers here  from Haiko Hebig

NewsGator made it a relatively painless transition.  It integrates with my Microsoft Outlook Ė slows it down some Ė (nothing a new PC wouldnít fix). 

Note:  This post didn't post as a draft... so was exported before I noted and commented on the issues I have with this solution.  They will be in a follow-up post shortly. 

Read the News Solution

I've been trying to read the news for the last six hours as I've tried every newsreader under the sun. After awhile I remembered a comment from Kate to check out Sharpreader. Guess what it integrates with wBloggar and thus solves most of my issues in a more elegant way. So now I can repost the news... and this is worth reposting:

This just in from David Galbraith.....

One small step for Technorati..

Something interesting is happening in the world of online identities. The end goal is clear - a distributed, decentralized identity system where people have control over their own identity online - a people's 'Passport' or what Marc Canter envisages as a people's DNS. The problem is how to get there. Perhaps it will happen, in part, from the ground up through small steps such as personal data in systems such as Technorati or one line bio's as personal RSS headlines? In fact, in true Dave Sifry style, Technorati seems to already be moving along these lines: see Technorati Profiles and check out the picture.

Over the longer term, this is perhaps as ground breaking as what weblogs have done for web publishing and ultimately will leverage the weblog model to its full potential by creating a parry to content through people's interests and requirements, creating a marketplace for RSS.

[David Galbraith]

It's all happening at the same time. Joi's Identity post, the OpenIdentity usage scenarios and now Technorati's profiles.  All within 24 hours of each other.

[Marc's Voice]

Plus I can add my own comments now using wBloggar. Greg thanks for your quick response it's exemplary. However, I have decided to remove NewsCrawler from my system. I had these issues with it.

  • While it integrated nicely in Outlook it provided only excerpts without a second preview window. Meaning I couldn't really treat it like I would e-mail.
  • Scrolling was incomplete and full posts difficult to get to.
  • It significanly impacted on the speed of Outlook despite resetting so it didn't start on start-up. I'm sure a new PC will cure it, just not today.
  • Then there was that dreaded instant post feature. However more importantly it impacted on my ability to simply post to multiple blogs just like you e-mail from multiple e-mail accounts.
  • I wanted to be able to repost from one newsreader to multiple blogs on different servers. Sharpreader works with wBloggar and solves this problem as multiple accounts are possible.

I think when NewsGator Version 1.3 is ready I may well return and try it.  At the moment it remains in beta. 

July 17, 2003

KM Stretch

Another brilliant post in the SEVEN SURVIVAL TIPS FOR KNOWLEDGE MANAGERS Kept me up tonight for a few last thoughts.  I really liked it.  levers.gif

Dave describes three new, looser methods to standardize how things get done, shown on the chart. 

I'd like to add a fourth.  Stretch and Learning: Every organization today must be able to to stretch to new futures, and perceive alternate environments in which their decisions may play out.  This requires the capability to embrace uncertainty, complexity, and an element of chaos.  So doing creates the intuition, the creative space where new solutions are found. 

Dave then adds "What does this mean for the struggling, once-hyped discipline of 'knowledge management'? Here's a 7-point strategy for knowledge managers ...."

  1. Focus knowledge and learning systems on 'know-who', not 'know-how'
  2. Introduce new social network enablement software and weblogs to capture the 'know-who'. 
  3. Keep only selected, highly-filtered knowledge in your central repositories. 
  4. Don't overlook the value of plain-old 'data'
  5. The bibliography may be more valuable than the document itself.
  6. Don't wait for people to look for it, send it out, using 'killer' channels.
  7. Create an internal market for your offerings by giving valuable stuff away.

For my final two cents of the night.  My favorites are numbers one and two and five.  In this area more attention must be placed on helping to design personal dashboards.  When connectivity is embedded at the fingertips or at the click of a mouse then richer conversations will evolve.  When we have great dialogues we have great organizations.  Lets not forget the soft skills the CKO needs as organizations seek personalized knowledge in a way that also creates real deep community brands.  When we can all live this way... then we will have organizations that compell people to operate around stategy number 7.  I think it's called the common good!

Storytelling and Blogs

Nice reminder on storytelling from David Gurteen below reminds me again of the storytelling work of Seth Kahan, Stephen Denning and others. You may also want to check out the discussion at WorkingStories

... just people telling short interesting personal stories. And each one uniquely and quite beautifully produced.

Here are their story-telling rules

  • Make it personal. (Use the word "I" or don't write at all.)
  • Be honest. (Only true stories will be accepted.)
  • Keep it under 1000 words. (Please!)
The best submissions balance two goals: personal storytelling and emotional reflection. Don't just tell us a story, tell us why it's important and how it affected you. Remember that your story will end with a question for others to answer, so make sure you answer it, too. Sometimes it helps to think of the question in advance and treat your story as an especially well-prepared answer.

Finally, remember that {fray} is about personal storytelling. That means you should take us back to a moment that mattered to you and tell us all about it, from beginning to end, as if we were going through it ourselves. Your job is to make a stranger feel what you felt.

I love it! But it gets better. In ending each story with a question - you get to answer that question. So having read the story - you can read a whole set of personal answers to the question by other readers. Many of the stories/questions/answers are very moving. I'm sitiing her with tears in my eyes!

[Gurteen Knowledge-Log]
My story. I'm still trying wBloggar and haven't yet solved all the posting issues. I added an HTML editor to my MT some time ago. htmlarea. Perhaps that may be affecting things.

Continuing on NewsReaders

In the storytelling mode this is one of those examples I really like about blogging.  Great, helpful, exchanges that quickly will lead to better products and more passionate customers.  While you will see I'm not yet ready to jump... the fact that Greg Reinacker notices my post and responds is in itself interesting to me.  It demonstrates a powerful way to win people over. I'd be interested to understand his method. 

Greg sent an e-mail from this morning.  Apparently my server is acting up and not accepting comments.  The comment did post and I'm sharing here his comments italics and my responses. 

Just thought I'd take a moment to address your issues here...

  • Excerpts - hmm, not sure what you mean here. NewsGator shows as much content as is available; if the feed only provides excerpts, that's all it will show, but if the feed provides full content you'll see it all. Perhaps you were talking about the NewsPage - 1.2 only shows excerpts there. 1.3 includes an option to view full post content on the NewsPage, so that may help you out. Outside of the NewsPage, everything works exactly like email...and in fact, many folks don't use the NewsPage at all.
    • Right.  The newspage is what I'm talking about.  In Radio's Newsreader I could scroll whole posts, and similarly in amphetadesk.  I note this will be solved in version 1.3.  However I would look at Sharpreader and note the following functions.  The preview pane that enables title scrolling above and quick deletion just like e-mail.  It also enables you to right click and mark all as read.  In NewsGator I am limited to folder my folder, and deletions are a point and click rather than the faster delete key.  Unless of course I read folder to folder.  Even in the folder/preview mode there is still some room for additional functionality.  
  • Scrolling and full posts difficult to get to - I'm guessing you're talking about the NewsPage again...if so, that should be covered in 1.3. If it was something else, can you elaborate?
    • see above
  • Speed - you will notice a slowdown when new posts are being created in Outlook; it should be similar to the slowdown you get when Outlook is storing new mail messages from a POP account. There really shouldn't be any other perceptible performance impact.
    • I'm wondering how many feeds is the average.  My test was my current subscription list, some 120 feeds.  I imported them with my first use, so perspective is driven from there and usage accordingly. What I think is interesting is I believe that I can handle at least 150 feeds and not be overwhelmed.  Whereas e-mail driven lists, I can't keep up with. 
  • wBloggar - a tricky tidbit for you here - the wBlogger plug-in you're using with SharpReader will also work with NewsGator; just copy the plug-in files to \program files\newsgator\plugins. :-)
    • Ah slick.  I see there is also discussion around a standardized .net newsreader plug-in format.  Let's hope some momentum starts.
  • Hope this helps - and please do try 1.3 when it's available!
    • I probably will.  Although I've just discovered the power of the search function in Sharpreader.  Just keyed in "innovation wiki" and it returned 8 posts within the last two weeks.  Cool!

So now what I want on Sharpreader is a quick subscribe button for my Explorer bar.  Plus the capability to link my Micah search function to my current subscription list. 

To close.  I think some speed measures on various newsreaders and their ability to enable individuals to accelerate handling of info are important.  I'm faster already I know it.  Then I'd also like to be able to share newsreader views.  Perhaps that could be done via the new Technorati Profiles?  Now this seems counter-intuitive.  Why share my info list.  Well, frankly it is back to what we learned from Napster.  When I can see your music list as I'm downloading something, then my learning about music accelerates.  It jogs my memory or reminds me about songs forgotten.  Do this with news feeds and it would create some interesting metrics as well.  I'd bet it would be better blogging by core groups.  Something for the blog cooperative?

Bet we've not heard the last on all of this. 

Putting Execs on Blogging Steroids

There is an old joke about how many people it takes to change a light bulb. So.... How many bloggers do you need to change a company? How many newreaders (subscribers in a co) do you need to change information habits?

How do you seed the change? How many should you start training. Who goes in that initial learning to blog team after the blogging briefing... where you said... "Hey that's a great idea!" lets train some bloggers.  How do we start?

Working though newreader solutions was just one thing I wanted to speed up. I can see I'm still getting good input on that score. I wanted better content examples and the capability to answer the "corporate" question. How do we seed the movement? Alternatively, if you are already a blogger in a business how do you determine the tipping point is near? How do you decide that blogging may really be ready to rock your corporate world?

These questions started by following Sharpreader, Feedster, (which provides smart methods to search blogs for information) and Technorati that replenished my memory on particular posts tracing back to posts in late June found again by exploring Marc's post on AOL Journals. Frankly I don't see the direct connection in the article to what I'm writing about here. Still I'm sure AOL will integrate news with both e-mail and IM options (Already begun!). Still something connected and fired some neurons from the above questions to link it to the rules below.

John Patrick reports he's met with "quite a few" senior executives of major corporations in the past week or two "but not one had even heard of blogging. One said, 'blobbing?'..."[Corante: aa Corante on Blogging]

While writing a blog is a whole different area and much is being written about it, i will focus here on how we might get more executives to start reading blogs.  The 'why' is obvious to bloggers - the RSS feed is an amazing tool for aggregating news from sources of your selection and promises to get only better in its width, depth and "user-friendliness".  The benefit - in allowing the reader to stay on the cutting edge of thought and development in his or her area of specialization and interest, due to the real-time online reporting and discussions.  This becomes a more dynamic source, as a result.   The 'how' is the greater challenge, as the 'why' may not be perceived unless experienced first-hand.  [Conversations with Dina]

This reminds me of a rule... 1-9-90 which was recently shared with me, and one other. What I'd call the square root rule. I'd like to know how well these will stand up? Lets set the context and then test them.

RULE ONE 1-9-90. From gaming a variation on the 80/20 type rule. 1% really make it happen in a community being responsible for most of the postings and activity. Group 2 the next 9% are on the active fringe, doing a little more than lurking with infrequent posts and forays. While the final 90% are simply lurkers... along for the ride and information. So the theory goes... that for every person that a Group 1 can convert from Group 2 the expanded community grows by one hundred.

RULE TWO Square Root Rule. To change a company requires the square root of the number of employees involved. So 10 employees can change a company of one hundred, and 32 to change a company of 1000. Clearly it helps to have certain people involved from top to bottom. Still it provides a starting point. In the company of 100 they may not all have to work full time. In the company of 1000 some may have to work full time on the project.

So what might these type of rules mean to blogging and newreaders?

Starting with RULE TWO. In a company of 100 we train 10 people to start blogging. In the larger 1000 person organization we might start by creating a blogging program for some 30 people. In each case these will be enough to change the way information begins flowing. The bloggers will also need some self-help forums and will likely expand this support dimension further. In the 1000 person company that is 3% of the workforce! 

Then applying RULE ONE, we require each blogger to recruit ten subscribers to set them up with a list of internal and external subscriptions to begin.  I'd guess at least 50% internal feeds to begin. The bloggers having done the first training course and begun blogging will now facilitate some simple NewsReader training sessions. No doubt some employees will recruit the same subscribers and others may even resort to some external subscribers. The bloggers will set up an obligation with the subscribers to provide comments to their blogs and they will run some " personal feedback" sessions with their subscribers to build their understanding of what works and what doesn't.

The newsreading subscribers can personalize and add to their feeds at will. They will also have access to the aggregated corporate feed. From an early audit... and discussion some key blogging categories will have been set up and standardized. Now Executives wanting to find out about project X can search their news reader if there is not a direct category for it. A senior exec asking the questions... "What do we know about product X or company y?" (will get not only internal feeds but insights into external feeds that are being watched by employees. Knowing who is tracking what will quickly become more visible from the blog posts.

I'd predict that early subscribers are likely to become bloggers, and the thus it's the exponential impact of the newsreader that will change how information is shared. Those are just the early light bulb moments.

However let's take it one step further.  What happens when rule one is applied to an organization where everyone blogs?  We get the innovative solutions found in beta software from the 9 factor (comments and referrals), and we get the brand commitment factor found in the organizational lurkers.  To put that in context... Every employee is worth 100 advocates for the brand.  Can't think of any businesses that have that sort of reach currently.  Now is that a stretch?

July 18, 2003

Dilemma

I found myself with a real dilemma this week.  My heart having made a short notice commitment to attend the 3 day IDCommons Meeting - an undertaking important to how society moves forward. If Mead's short quote about a few people changing the world was ever relevant -- then this is one of those possiblities. I'm sorry I won't be there.  It's a great group of people. 

While I wanted to be there...the head said --- you have some client obligations that must be achieved before you go on vacation.  So I rationalised and so I will take some time to be at the WFS meeting that is on this weekend in SF.  It's hardly likely to be a substitute.  I will be looking at it to see whether the "futurists" really get it. 

July 19, 2003

Are We Conscious?

I'm at the WFS World Future Society conference and there is a dearth of plugs and power. WIFI? So far forget it. It seems I can get a very weak signal via T-mobile from the Starbucks I presume across the street. The Hyatt Embarcadero for all effective purposes --- I'm in the basement of backwardness. I registered this morning at a desk in the old fashioned way. There are no bar codes no RFID buttons, no access to the net, looks like no back channel chat, ...... This seems to be quickly verifying one of the reasons I decided to attend. What are futurists? How future oriented are they?

In just fifteen minutes... I can see there is nary a laptop in sight - not that it is a criteria --- I'm going to feel strange here. My blogs won't be live. Will post them when I can.

I've had an interest in futures for many years. Probably like many people here. For me it was Alvin Tofflers first books as a teenager influenced by my Dad who was a rocket scientist.  Caught me in a lifelong curiosity about the future. 

After all these years I've never been to a WFS Conference before. A quick preview of the agenda suggests I explore some of the "spiritual and consciousness" agenda items, while continuing to try and track where they are on social change. I'm in a room of maybe 70 people. The average age is older than we'd like. There are many sessions avialable. Probably 700 here. It's a little potluck. I chose this one because I recognized the names. It was a toss-up ... this or an FBI guy on Homeland Security.

Session One. Peter Russell  "The Future Evolution of Consciousneess". Key points paraphased.

How fast can we adapt to change? Can we find a deeper inner stability in ourselves? Need help to deal with stress. Lot of stress comes from living in the future. What we are realling looking for is a longing for the "experience" of the present. Human consiousness is not really valued by society. Newsmedia are not really interested in it. Not on politcal agenda, etc. Science basically ignore consiousness. Despite Science's capability to to push back boundaries... nothing in science that explains why any of us have a certain thought. It's an anomaly!!

Are we moving to a new model? Is consiousness as important as space time and matter? Is consiousness the "hard problem"? Are we approaching a new metaparadigm? This doesnt threaten physical sciences. What it does begin to do is open a whole new understanding of what people have been saying about deep experiences for 1000's of years. The inner journey / mystics will be really crucial for where we are going. How can we free ourselves from our old mindset. Can we wake up to what makes us really think about what make us consious human beings.

Lot of stress here just trying to find a plug and I can forget WiFi. After so many recent conferences with WiFi everywhere I feel a little out of place... am the only one tapping away on a keyboard. Maybe I should be trying to aborb this at a deeper level. There are no slides in this session. Now the reason why I came to this session. Barbara Marx Hubbard

Conscious evolution is the context for the transition we are undergoing. Evolutionary concsiousness. The qualities are:

  1. Inner traditional the oneness the source the spirt ...
  2. Extend backwards in space times... cosmogenisis or cosmic evolutionary consiousness expanded reality. Just identify with the billions of years that is embodied with our genetic DNA. She "surfs the spiral" and feels that surge of intense evolution in me. "How could I possibly be depressed?" Assoiciating with de... chardan.
  3. The rise of the cocreative human: a new type of human. with evolutionary consiousness to consciously evolve or destruct.  That is why evolutionary consciousness is a matter for human survival. If we assume that consciousness is prime. (Recommends: The LIFE DEVINE by? and the book The Jesus Mystery.)

This evolves --- human evolutions. there are many types of homo sapiens sapiens... call it homo universalis... Are we becoming self-evolving? It is not a univeral universe it is a participatory. The emerging view of human universalis is a major step to consious evolutionary psychology. Emergence and convergence. Emergence out of Homo Sapiens Sapiens.  There are many menbers of this species that think their own consiousness is shifitng. It starts with a conception - an awakening, an opening a mystical experience. Once one has had a conception experience there is a gestation period within the wome of self consiousness.  You will feel there is something missing. The inner devine informing the essential self.... Shifting idenity from ego to essence. If the human specieis is going though a quantum jump in the noosphere a mature thinking layer what might be like on the other side of the transition? It becomes an interesting idea.

Can we retain a continuity of consciousness so we don't keep forgetting? .... Can we remain consious though bodies ...... the physical aspect of ourselves created though the consious side of things. The animal human lifecyle is completely ridiculous.... for if consiouness is prime... then we will become conscious creators on a universal scale... then we will be a universal species. consious co-creators... If consiousness is evolutionary .... can we expect to influence it... because we actually are... eg changing DNA... has led to the capacity to change our own evolution.

See Alan Lithman... "the evolutionary agenda" out of egoic transformations.... eg homo polaris... awakened to emergent capacities that is guided by an internal star of intuition. The technology that consciouness is creating has become disconnected from its rea meaning. "Voices of the Gods" book about resonance and being of the coming. "I am!" Is there a turing test for Consiousness. eg prayer affects sick patients. beyond faith... How might the unversality of consicousness come into being? Association made with Spiral Dynamics here. that seems relevant to me. See "EVOLVE" Barbaras...

What do i think about this sesssion This is a neat interpretation of the Singularity.

Future of Future Studies

Why is it that Future Studies has never really gotten off the ground.  This was an interesting session.  Certainly helped my perspective.  I've often thought that it is everyones job to study the future. Still -- And I'm already getting the feeling here.... there is often too much talk about the future, and not enough intelligent analysis.  Yes it needs some constructs and frameworks.  Plus while the overshoot analysis may be correct....  

(Mini note: Lack of access to hook links while listening is reducing my pleasure of being here. Still can't believe I am the only one with a laptop open in this session (ah someone else has joined. as far as i can tell....must be 50 here). Redefining strange. Should question whether I am strange wanting to blog this and add it to my bank of memories? Now thinking that here I am and the speakers.. aren't enabling my interaction or connection with some form of avatar or even FOAF. Gosh would be nice to have some of their links etc, confirm my presence and set a possible dialogue for later. The speakers are also here for exchanges. The system is limiting them.)

Convergence and Collision:  Creating a new filed of applied foresight: (Paraphrasing again)

Begins with a story from HG Wells about the impact of the automobile. What we could have just learned if we had anticipated the automobile. Could Professors of Foresight have foreseen all this? Ie What we have today?

Rick Slaughter's conslusion after 20+years is that our species is headed for the overshot and collapse reality. Basically the rational that gets me going is "perceptions of real danger" is what can change the system.... too many futures just help people get along with the subsidiary things. Idea of Strategic Foresight! Realised that conventional strategic planning is dull... "foresight refreshes strategy" the ulitimate goal... "sustaining social foresight" every individual has it... how do we bring forward the practioners to make it happen?

Peter Bishop University of Houston Clear Lake: Can we do anything. Is there any hope for foresight to help is create a better future in the future? Can we use Foresight to improve the human condiiton?

  1. Knowledge we might be able to have about the future.
  2. Most is highly contigent, but putting knowledge in front of them clearly infom. Try and lay out what we know in predicted and in the alterantive ways of where we might end up. Recommend where we might end up... choosing the best course of action... capacity to value, can affect the mix of recommmendations.
  3. Falls well out side of foresight ... why don't we take action ourselves? Why do people blank out and make assumptions?  Do we have good knowledge about the future? We just don't have perfect knowledge. Our reasoning has unconsious influences. The values are nowhere clear. The problem is how do you weight. We've found pushing the buttons of society didn't work.

How will society respond?. Some 30 years later we are more humble - we know we don't know, and so strategic foresight faces a number of hurdles. The 20th century was a century of psychology... the elevation of individual above all things. That came down to an individual discussion of foresight. In society we can't act only as individual, and have found the modern conception was not quite valid. The invention of democracy and politics is about the pursuit and maintenance of power within a framework. The second is the free market and capitalism. Two solutions show how we can have colelctive solutions that can improve it all. These are examples of collective activiities that have solved some of the decision making.

What are we to do in an ecology of ideas. Richard Dawkins ideas of memes... they live in a ecology. based on their abitity to survive and propagate themelves. Proposing mulitiple answers and letting them beat up on each other... is perhaps... the way to address the threat of overshoot and collapse? Current restrictions in the free flow of information is limiting responses.  There are not enough sources of ideas about the future fueling the ecology of ideas... hope is the internet is a place where that might yet happen. Central sources of info remain a problem.  Our knowledge is a function of choice. choosing what we should know and believe. How do you make choices unless you know what the choices are? Point out to people that they have choices. Choices in their actions and thoughts.

Foresight is the practice of the ecologies of ideas in conjunction with alternative scenarios for the future.

Mike Marien Editor of Future Survey for 25 years.  Many corporates get this monthly abstract.  Of course it's not really online.

Futures Studies has ... seven disabling myths.

  • Future studies is a field or a discipline
  • Futurists are generalists
  • Futurists are primarily Futurists
  • Future Studies do what no other field does
  • Future Studies is understood and appreciated by outsiders
  • Future Studies is a commmunity

Six categoreis of FuturesThinking five P's and a Q

  1. Probable futures
  2. Possible futures
  3. Preferable futures (these first three are pretty common)
  4. Present Changes (auditing, indicators, social reports, trend analysis vital signs and 9 others)
  5. Panoramic View (big pictures, comprehendsive views, consilience, holistic thinking, eintreative thingks, ponoptican thinking, systems thinking and 18 others)
  6. Questioning (critiquing dissenting, embracing error, reformulation, unlearning and 9 others)

Continua for Analysing Futures Thinkers

  1. Culture
  2. Dispostion
  3. Style
  4. Origination individual versus group
  5. Time frame very long terem vs now
  6. Breadth
  7. Ideology
  8. Identity
  9. Grounding: realist vs idealist , academic vs applied, western vs not western
  10. Relevance leading edge vs sideshow vs backwater
  11. Right
  12. Engagement

So with this foundation and perpective on Future Studies what should we do? Eight broad tasks if Future Studies is to really go ahead.

  1. Shared vision of what we are about
  2. Emphasis on all purposed. The five p's and a q
  3. A serious Global Information Sytem
  4. A widespread and evalutated academic presence
  5. Multiple excellence
  6. Second profession recrutiment and training
  7. A respectable Public Presence
  8. Adequate Funding as if the future mattered.

Can't help thinking that something is missing here.  I'm getting a sense that Future Studies was invented as an idea some thirty + years ago and hasn't come all that far since.   

Future of Schools.

Had an interesting conversation walking out of lunch after two mundane keynote presentations.  Makes me wonder... is the World Future Society really backward??? There certainly is a problem with the old conference format here.  Few people speak. I'm off to an education related presentation. 

I remember finding Dee Dickinson's New Horizons for Learning site years ago.  I think I'm shopping on names I sort of know here. 

Next Milton Chin (George Lucas Educational Foundation). Moving Images.

Patrick McKercher - potential to individualize education --- new media savvy kids aren't learning in the same way. the evidence is accumulating that what we are doing doesn't work for a growing number of students. How can we change our schools?

Students learn best by doing with others and now we can tailor education to have more project centered learning ..... Students building learning expereinces for other students. We can now do that very well. The metric was ... how much didiyou memorize? Today the teacher becomes not the judge but the facilitator or learning coach.

"The Knowledge Web" is a virtual organization the kind of world that you build inspires different activities. See also ActiveWorlds

This comment struck me.  It is now possible to educate students at less than 5000 dollars per year which is less than what California currently spends. Hi stakes testing.... is driving teachers to distracton... so teachers are cutting project based learning and education is going backward because it is test driven. The majority of the schools will fail to make the standards... and then federal funding will impact. 

Not a particularly inspiring session.  Expect the Education crisis to grow! 

July 22, 2003

Time Pressures

Still have some postings to come from WFS and a few others at the draft stage.  Just haven't quite finished them before vacation calls.  Every year time seems to get shorter before going on vacation.  Haven't quite figured out why that is.  Plan to do some writing while on vacation.  Not sure if that means much blogging.  Perhaps the posts might take a different slant.  We will see.  Raise a glass to starting August holidays early!

About July 2003

This page contains all entries posted to Unbound Spiral in July 2003. They are listed from oldest to newest.

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