Social Collapse and Communications?

February 17, 2009

in Scenarios & Futures, Strategic Foresight

I’ve just been reading the Demetry Orlov’s Feb 13 speech via the Long Now Foundation. He tells a story of the collapse of Russia and poses a similar collapse for the US. He points to the importance of Food, Shelter, Transport and Security.  Stewart Brand’s summary is here.

ClubOrlov: Social Collapse Best Practices His summary points to potential strategies. As Americans should this future come to pass it is one few are prepared for.

It’s a challenging doom scenario for most of us. It is the end of life as we know it. Yet many of the of the elements are already in play. The collapse of the financial system, the destruction of the housing market and the inevitablity that oil and transport won’t run SUV’s.

I’m getting enough “signals” like these that it’s no longer just a “radical” talking on the fringes. I’ve got other friends who may see it differently that are even today organizing “grass roots” solutions to encourage change. See the We20 initiative and join it on Facebook.

There’s one item that isn’t discussed in Orlov’s presentation. That’s communication. No one had cellphones in Russia at that time. I happen to think communications will play a key part in how our society evolves and the solutions we find. While the current powers (incumbents) are traditional and will hold on to the old model almost at anycost it may be a good idea to start floating this view of the world internally.

If this scenario is certain… what’s the communication strategy for the carrier? What is it you need to know? Handsets etc?

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